Recapping last week's selections, our honorable mention section in the colleges should have been flipped into our preferred picks as we went 4-2. Unfortunately, our preferred picks went 0-4-1. Our Kentucky and WVU picks deserved better fates. Turnovers flipped close games into double digit defeats. Bottom line is no excuses and we have to do better. Our overall record is now 13-11-1 for a 54% winning clip. Good enough to make money, but barely.
In the NFL we went a solid 3-2 once again keeping us at a credible 60% money making clip in the pros. Overall in the college and pros, we are 22-17-1 for an overall percentage of 56%. Short of our goal of 60%, but the season is still young.
now on with the show...
WVU +3 vs Baylor
Once again, we like the Mountaineers at home against a Bears team only returning 3 starters on defense and new head coach. The Mounties outgained the Cowboys last week, but key turnovers doomed them to a double digit loss. QB Doege impressed, with no interceptions as the WVU ground game and passing attack were quite impressive going up against the OSU big-league defenders. Actually, OSU was out first-downed and out gained in total yardage. Perhaps playing at home will turn their fortunes against the first-year head Coach Dave Arranda and the Bears from Waco. WVU +3
UAB -19 vs UTSA
The Roadrunners of UTSA overcame an injury to their starting QB in the first half and still outlasted the Blue Raiders of MTSU in the Alamo Dome last Friday to remain undefeated. The Blazers are a different animal though, as coach Will Clark's UAB side has won NINETEEN in a row at Legion Field in Birmingham. More importantly, they are 14-3-2 against the spread in those last 19 games! A veteran defense stymies the backup QB for UTSA and future NFL running back Spencer Brown once again runs wild. The close loss earlier in the year against the vastly improved Hurricanes of Miami was a wakeup call as to just how good this Blazer's team is this year! UAB -19
SMU +3 vs Memphis
Quadruple revenge for the Mustangs here against the Tigers of Memphis. Texas QB Shane Buechele has absolutely been on fire this year, but he has had to be. The Pony Express defense has not been anything to write home about. Close losses to Memphis the past several years will be avenged in what should be a track meet between two of the better non-power 5 conference teams. We like the Mustangs getting a FG head start. Memphis +3
Air Force +6 vs Navy
Service academy war in Colorado Springs as the Falcons after first being favored, now find themselves the underdogs against the Midshipmen. According to our sources, Air Force has dismissed their star starting QB Hammonds. Not only that, but a plethora of fly boys have opted out this season! If true, look for Navy having now found their starting QB against Tulane (biggest comeback in program history), to ground the Falcons. In addition, Navy has a TWO GUB advantage. Navy -6
FAU -8 vs Charlotte
We have been waiting all year to play against one of the most overrated coaches in college football. The Owls of Florida Atlantic take the field under the guidance of the aforementioned coach Willie Taggart, and we like the 49ers and the TD plus head start. In addition, Charlotte QB Chris Reynolds is scheduled to start here coming back from injury. Furthermore, NO SPRING practices for FAU and a ONE GUB advantage for Charlotte has us leaning their way. Charlotte +8
and for those liking lots of action...
Honorable mention... Vanderbilt +21, TCU +12 1/2, Tulsa +21 1/2
Chicago +1 1/2 vs Indianapolis
Is there a luckier 3-0 team in the NFL than the Bears? Arguably, they won the first two games in spite of QB Trubisky, but now Nick Foles has the keys to the offense thanks to a 3 TD FOURTH QTR comeback against the Falcons last week. By the way, the Falcons became the first team in NFL history to give up consecutive 15 point leads in the 4th Quarter, only to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory! But this pick is about the Bears. We like them against the Colts with QB Phillip Rivers well past his sell-by date. Upon closer inspection, Indy has played three teams with a combined 1-8 record. Chicago is much like the disrespected Chiefs pick last week here! We like the Bears plus the slight head start to go to 4-0. Chicago +1 1/2
Miami + 6 1/2 vs Seattle
UGLY Dog pick number 2 on the season. Last week the lowly Vikings almost pulled out the straight up win versus the Titans, but still covered. Look for much the same here as Seattle is coming off two straight A-game wins versus the Patriots and Cowboys in successive weeks. Now they travel to heat and humidity of Miami in that dreaded 10 a.m. West Coast body clock starting time. One more case of fat and happy vs semi-desperate. Look for QB Fitzpatrick and the Dolphins to hang around the entire game in this Ugly Dog special! Miami +6 1/2
Detroit +4 1/2 vs New Orleans
We like the Lions here fresh off the upset of the heretofore high flying Cardinals in the Tempe desert last Sunday. Just as QB Stafford got WR Golliday back from injury last week completely opening up the offense, QB Drew Brees still might not have WR Thomas back this week. As electric as stud all-everything Alvin Kamara is, the Saints offense is still hampered by the absence of a completely healthy Thomas and visibly declining Brees. We like the Lions here plus the points, as they look to make New Orleans scrap all the way to pick up a victory! Detroit +4 1/2
Los Angeles Rams -12 vs New York Giants
After two good games against the Steelers and Bears, QB Jones reverted back to his turnover clown show last week against a decimated by injury 49ers team! Now the Giants travel west to face what could have been an undefeated Rams bunch if not for the last second Buffalo win last Sunday. Look for the underrated Rams defense to make life miserable for the Saquon Barkley-less Giants offense this week. QB Goff has been playing exceedingly well so far and we think the Giants do not keep pace here. Los Angeles Rams -12
Kansas City -7 vs New England
Once again we are climbing aboard the Patriots train in an underdog role. Against Seattle, New England and their backers deserved better, as Cam Newton could not jam it in the end zone on the last play of the game. And once again, there is no need to go over Coach Hoodie's underdog record. Granted, the Pats are going up against the Chiefs and their high flying air raid attack, but look for them to shorten the game unlike the Ravens. We like New England and the TD head start even though the K C machine has won 13 games in a row and 12-1 against the Vegas number! New England +7
Your fearless forecaster
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